As will likely be the case for duration of the season, teams on the top four lines have such solid resumes that it would take some bad losses (read: sub-150 RPI losses) to dampen their respective seeds. I'm probably in the minority here, but I still like Kansas' overall profile better than Syracuse's. Even with the loss - which came on the road against an underrated and tournament-bound Iowa State team if the field was selected today.
*As per most bracket projections, this would be my projected field if the season ended today. Thankfully, that's not the case because the final 8-10 teams are still poor excuses for the "recent need" for expansion.
Biggest Risers: Michigan (No. 5 to No. 3) and Illinois (No. 9 to No. 7) were both beneficiaries of the strong Big Ten. Both have overall strong resumes and big wins (Michigan against projected No. 5 seed Indiana and Illinois against projected No. 3 seed Michigan State) were big resume builders.
Biggest Fallers: UConn (No. 6 to No. 8) and Seton Hall (No. 7 to No. 9) both have been hanging their respective hats on November and December. Recently, both teams have been terrible. UConn has lost four in a row while Seton Hall has lost five straight. The one solution: have the teams play one another. Ironically, that's exactly what'll happen tomorrow as Seton Hall visits UConn.
LAST 4 TEAMS IN: Arizona, Iowa State, North Carolina State, Notre Dame
LAST 10 TEAMS OUT: Texas, New Mexico State, Colorado State, Mississippi, Northwestern, Dayton, George Mason, Stanford, Oregon, VCU, Northern Iowa, Pittsburgh.
NOTES: Notre Dame, thanks in large part to a win at UConn, jumped into this week's field. Marshall fell out of the field along with Dayton. Last week, Dayton was the A-10 representative and also would have been in the field as an at-large. I might have over seeded Dayton (No. 9) last week as the Flyers resume just isn't that strong. La Salle took over the A-10's auto-bid this week.
Texas is an interesting case. The Longhorns don't have many signature wins (Temple would be the big one with a road game at UCLA being No. 2). However, Texas hasn't lost to any terrible teams and the brutal part of the Big 12 schedule (@ Missouri, @ Kansas State, vs. Kansas, vs. Iowa State, @ Baylor, vs. Missouri) is finished. A 1-5 record in that stretch is bad, but most bubble teams wouldn't get more than one victory. I fully expect Texas to win its next five games before a home date against Baylor. That doesn't mean Texas will be in the projected field by then as only a home game against Kansas State would be a noteworthy victory. Nevertheless, Texas will be in that "Last Four In" or "Last Four Out" discussion from now until Selection Sunday.